The growing wave of Iranian attacks is not a sign of weakness, but the implementation of a precise and cynical strategy of asymmetric warfare. The Pasdaran (Revolutionary Guards) have set a multidimensional trap for the United States, designed to force the Trump administration into an escalation that, paradoxically, risks becoming the greatest American geopolitical disaster of recent decades.
The Architecture of the Trap
The Iranian maneuver is based on three fundamental pillars aimed at wearing down American power from within and without:
- Operational Saturation: Through simultaneous drone and missile raids against US bases (such as Al-Azraq in Jordan) and critical infrastructure in Kuwait and Bahrain, Iran forces Washington to disperse its defensive resources, making the American position vulnerable throughout the region.
- Economic Attrition: By targeting desalination plants, oil sites, and paralyzing maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, the Pasdaran are directly undermining the global economy, with the price of crude oil already reaching 87 dollars per barrel, creating a climate of instability that directly impacts the American electorate.
- Psychological and Religious Warfare: With a direct appeal to Jordanian citizens to "eliminate" the US military, defined as invaders, the Pasdaran are turning the American military presence into a target of popular guerrilla, evoking the ghosts of Afghanistan and Iraq where technological superiority clashed against entrenched hostility on the ground.
Washington's Dead End
The trap is structured so that every move by Trump becomes a double-edged sword:
"If Washington responds with massive attacks (including the nuclear option considered by the White House), it is dragged exactly where Tehran wants: an open, long, and costly conflict in which time and knowledge of the terrain play in favor of the Pasdaran and their allies of the Axis of Resistance. If instead the USA chooses moderation, they appear weak, losing control over regional partners and allowing Iran to consolidate its maritime and energy dominance."
The Risk of a "New Afghanistan"
The concrete danger is that the United States is getting into yet another military quagmire. Despite the war plans discussed in the Situation Room and the dispatch of tanker aircraft to Israel, the Iranian command warns that we are now close to "zero hour." For the Trump administration, the dilemma is brutal: the American public, mindful of past failures, will hardly accept supporting a total war that promises to be a quagmire, yet the President now seems driven, by circumstances, towards "all or nothing."
Comments
No comments yet. Be the first!